Alan Belcher vs Sean Salmon

May 25, 2007

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1030
(+42)
Alan Belcher
Winner: Alan Belcher
Submission
Round 1 • 0:53

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alan Belcher+42
Sean Salmon-28
955
(-28)
Sean Salmon

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Belcher: +30Sean Salmon: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan BelcherSean Salmon
Total UFC Fights42
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 028949
ELO Change+30-30
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What Happened

Alan Belcher's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alan Belcher for the expected result. Had Sean Salmon pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Belcher: +21Sean Salmon: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan BelcherSean Salmon
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 003963
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Belcher: +76Sean Salmon: -36

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan BelcherSean Salmon
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish0:530:53
Win Type ELO1 107941
ELO Change+76-36
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What Happened

Alan Belcher locked in a lightning-fast Submission in 0:53 of round 1. This explosive first-minute submission earned substantial bonus rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Belcher: +18Sean Salmon: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan BelcherSean Salmon
Significant Strikes Landed01
Significant Strikes Attempted21
Total Strikes Landed01
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 026948
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

Virtually no striking took place with only 1 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Belcher: +53Sean Salmon: -53

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan BelcherSean Salmon
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:000:05
Ground Strikes Landed01
Ground ELO951942
ELO Change+53-53
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Belcher: +97Sean Salmon: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan BelcherSean Salmon
Days Since Last Fight49121
Activity ELO1 114971
ELO Change+97-19
💡

What Happened

Alan Belcher demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 49 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Alan Belcher capitalized on this activity level, while Sean Salmon's 121-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Belcher: +23Sean Salmon: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan BelcherSean Salmon
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 009964
ELO Change+23-21
💡

What Happened

Alan Belcher started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sean Salmon is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Belcher: +21Sean Salmon: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan BelcherSean Salmon
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 003963
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.