May 25, 2007
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Sean Salmon |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 028 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Alan Belcher's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alan Belcher for the expected result. Had Sean Salmon pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Sean Salmon |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Sean Salmon |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:53 | 0:53 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 107 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -36 |
Alan Belcher locked in a lightning-fast Submission in 0:53 of round 1. This explosive first-minute submission earned substantial bonus rewards.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Sean Salmon |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 026 | 948 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 1 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Sean Salmon |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 951 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -53 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Sean Salmon |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 49 | 121 |
| Activity ELO | 1 114 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +97 | -19 |
Alan Belcher demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 49 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Alan Belcher capitalized on this activity level, while Sean Salmon's 121-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Sean Salmon |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 009 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Alan Belcher started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sean Salmon is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Sean Salmon |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

