Alan Belcher vs Wilson Gouveia

December 11, 2009

Catch Weight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1088
(+62)
Alan Belcher
Winner: Alan Belcher
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 3:03

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alan Belcher+62
Wilson Gouveia-49
1086
(-49)
Wilson Gouveia

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Belcher: +41Wilson Gouveia: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan BelcherWilson Gouveia
Total UFC Fights1010
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO9911 027
ELO Change+41-27
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (10 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Belcher: +23Wilson Gouveia: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan BelcherWilson Gouveia
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0421 031
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Belcher: +126Wilson Gouveia: -58

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan BelcherWilson Gouveia
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish3:033:03
Win Type ELO1 2461 206
ELO Change+126-58
💡

What Happened

Alan Belcher earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:03, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Belcher: +129Wilson Gouveia: -129

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan BelcherWilson Gouveia
Significant Strikes Landed2129
Significant Strikes Attempted5690
Total Strikes Landed2630
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 0881 035
ELO Change+129-129
💡

What Happened

Wilson Gouveia controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (29 vs 21). However, since Wilson Gouveia lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Alan Belcher's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Belcher: +82Wilson Gouveia: -82

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan BelcherWilson Gouveia
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:040:00
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO1 0501 104
ELO Change+82-82
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Belcher: +46Wilson Gouveia: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan BelcherWilson Gouveia
Days Since Last Fight155294
Activity ELO1 1881 203
ELO Change+46-26
💡

What Happened

Alan Belcher demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alan Belcher capitalized on this activity level, while Wilson Gouveia's 294-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Belcher: +26Wilson Gouveia: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan BelcherWilson Gouveia
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 0601 054
ELO Change+26-24
💡

What Happened

Alan Belcher started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Wilson Gouveia is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Belcher: +23Wilson Gouveia: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan BelcherWilson Gouveia
Weight ClassN/AN/A
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0421 030
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.