December 11, 2009
Catch Weight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 991 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (10 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:03 | 3:03 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 246 | 1 206 |
| ELO Change | +126 | -58 |
Alan Belcher earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:03, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 29 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 56 | 90 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 26 | 30 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 088 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +129 | -129 |
Wilson Gouveia controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (29 vs 21). However, since Wilson Gouveia lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Alan Belcher's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 050 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -82 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 294 |
| Activity ELO | 1 188 | 1 203 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -26 |
Alan Belcher demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alan Belcher capitalized on this activity level, while Wilson Gouveia's 294-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 060 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Alan Belcher started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Wilson Gouveia is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Wilson Gouveia |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

