July 10, 2009
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Yoshihiro Akiyama |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 950 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -89 | +89 |
Yoshihiro Akiyama overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Alan Belcher.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Yoshihiro Akiyama |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 019 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Yoshihiro Akiyama |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 120 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Yoshihiro Akiyama receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Yoshihiro Akiyama |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 76 | 55 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 156 | 156 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 76 | 70 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 959 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Alan Belcher controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (76 vs 55), superior accuracy (48.7% vs 35.3%), 1 knockdown. However, since Alan Belcher lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Yoshihiro Akiyama's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Yoshihiro Akiyama |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:44 | 3:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 968 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -66 | +66 |
Yoshihiro Akiyama controlled Alan Belcher on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 3:11 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Yoshihiro Akiyama |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 142 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Yoshihiro Akiyama demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Yoshihiro Akiyama capitalized on this activity level, while Alan Belcher's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Yoshihiro Akiyama |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 034 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +27 |
Yoshihiro Akiyama started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alan Belcher is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Yoshihiro Akiyama |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 019 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.