December 28, 2012
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 079 | 1 217 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Yushin Okami's 2-fight experience advantage (16 vs 14 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Yushin Okami for the expected result. Had Alan Belcher pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 083 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 385 | 1 402 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Yushin Okami earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 28 | 44 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 15 | 81 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 248 | 1 321 |
| ELO Change | -73 | +73 |
Yushin Okami dominated the striking exchanges with 81 vs 15 total strikes, 20 vs 6 significant strikes, 45.5% vs 21.4% accuracy. Yushin Okami capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:23 | 8:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 1 192 | 1 386 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Yushin Okami controlled Alan Belcher on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 8:01 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 239 | 141 |
| Activity ELO | 1 244 | 1 345 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +36 |
Yushin Okami demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Yushin Okami capitalized on this activity level, while Alan Belcher's 239-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 118 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Yushin Okami extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alan Belcher is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alan Belcher | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 080 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

