Alan Jouban vs Belal Muhammad

July 6, 2016

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1129
(+28)
Alan Jouban
Winner: Alan Jouban
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alan Jouban+28
Belal Muhammad-24
976
(-24)
Belal Muhammad

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Jouban: +22Belal Muhammad: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan JoubanBelal Muhammad
Total UFC Fights71
Experience Gap6-6
Experience ELO1 132978
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

Alan Jouban's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alan Jouban for the expected result. Had Belal Muhammad pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Jouban: +19Belal Muhammad: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan JoubanBelal Muhammad
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 060981
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Jouban: +20Belal Muhammad: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan JoubanBelal Muhammad
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 224980
ELO Change+20-20
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What Happened

Alan Jouban earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Jouban: +61Belal Muhammad: -61

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan JoubanBelal Muhammad
Significant Strikes Landed8677
Significant Strikes Attempted169199
Total Strikes Landed105108
Knockdowns Scored30
Striking ELO1 243939
ELO Change+61-61
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What Happened

Alan Jouban dominated the striking exchanges with 86 vs 77 significant strikes, 50.9% vs 38.7% accuracy, including 3 devastating knockdowns. Alan Jouban capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Jouban: +20Belal Muhammad: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan JoubanBelal Muhammad
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted08
Ground Control Time1:372:59
Ground Strikes Landed163
Ground ELO1 093980
ELO Change+20-20
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What Happened

Alan Jouban did not secure a significant ground advantage against Belal Muhammad on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:37 of control time, 16 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Jouban: +37Belal Muhammad: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan JoubanBelal Muhammad
Days Since Last Fight110N/A
Activity ELO1 145985
ELO Change+37-15
💡

What Happened

Alan Jouban demonstrated solid activity levels with 110 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alan Jouban capitalized on this activity level, while Belal Muhammad's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Jouban: +22Belal Muhammad: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan JoubanBelal Muhammad
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 073982
ELO Change+22-18
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What Happened

Alan Jouban extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Belal Muhammad is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Jouban: +19Belal Muhammad: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan JoubanBelal Muhammad
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 060981
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.