November 20, 2020
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alan Jouban | Jared Gooden |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 12 | -12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 112 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Alan Jouban's 12-fight experience advantage (13 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alan Jouban for the expected result. Had Jared Gooden pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alan Jouban | Jared Gooden |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 052 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alan Jouban | Jared Gooden |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 264 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Alan Jouban earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alan Jouban | Jared Gooden |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 168 | 100 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 331 | 210 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 169 | 101 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 159 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Alan Jouban dominated the striking exchanges with 169 vs 101 total strikes, 168 vs 100 significant strikes. Alan Jouban capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alan Jouban | Jared Gooden |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:10 | 1:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 085 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Alan Jouban did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jared Gooden on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Alan Jouban | Jared Gooden |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 589 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 140 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -14 |
Alan Jouban demonstrated extended layoff with 589 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Alan Jouban capitalized on this activity level, while Jared Gooden's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alan Jouban | Jared Gooden |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 073 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -18 |
Alan Jouban started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jared Gooden is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alan Jouban | Jared Gooden |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 052 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

