Alan Jouban vs Jared Gooden

November 20, 2020

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1117
(+18)
Alan Jouban
Winner: Alan Jouban
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alan Jouban+18
Jared Gooden-19
981
(-19)
Jared Gooden

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Jouban: +24Jared Gooden: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan JoubanJared Gooden
Total UFC Fights131
Experience Gap12-12
Experience ELO1 112976
ELO Change+24-24
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What Happened

Alan Jouban's 12-fight experience advantage (13 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alan Jouban for the expected result. Had Jared Gooden pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Jouban: +19Jared Gooden: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan JoubanJared Gooden
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 052981
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Jouban: +16Jared Gooden: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan JoubanJared Gooden
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 264984
ELO Change+16-16
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What Happened

Alan Jouban earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Jouban: +22Jared Gooden: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan JoubanJared Gooden
Significant Strikes Landed168100
Significant Strikes Attempted331210
Total Strikes Landed169101
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 159978
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

Alan Jouban dominated the striking exchanges with 169 vs 101 total strikes, 168 vs 100 significant strikes. Alan Jouban capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Jouban: +17Jared Gooden: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan JoubanJared Gooden
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted11
Ground Control Time0:101:06
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 085983
ELO Change+17-17
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What Happened

Alan Jouban did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jared Gooden on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Jouban: +12Jared Gooden: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan JoubanJared Gooden
Days Since Last Fight589N/A
Activity ELO1 140986
ELO Change+12-14
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What Happened

Alan Jouban demonstrated extended layoff with 589 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Alan Jouban capitalized on this activity level, while Jared Gooden's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Jouban: +20Jared Gooden: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan JoubanJared Gooden
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 073982
ELO Change+20-18
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What Happened

Alan Jouban started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jared Gooden is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Jouban: +19Jared Gooden: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan JoubanJared Gooden
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 052981
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.