December 16, 2016
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alan Jouban | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 161 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Alan Jouban's 5-fight experience advantage (8 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alan Jouban for the expected result. Had Mike Perry pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alan Jouban | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 080 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alan Jouban | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 264 | 1 166 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Alan Jouban earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alan Jouban | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 69 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 133 | 90 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 69 | 37 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 318 | 1 197 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -75 |
Alan Jouban controlled the striking exchanges with 69 vs 37 total strikes, 69 vs 37 significant strikes, 51.9% vs 41.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Alan Jouban capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alan Jouban | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:06 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 165 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -72 |
Alan Jouban landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Alan Jouban | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 164 | 71 |
| Activity ELO | 1 181 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -21 |
Alan Jouban demonstrated solid activity levels with 164 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alan Jouban capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Perry's 71-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alan Jouban | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 099 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -20 |
Alan Jouban extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Perry is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alan Jouban | Mike Perry |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 080 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

