February 27, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alan Jouban | Richard Walsh |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 084 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -17 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alan Jouban | Richard Walsh |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alan Jouban | Richard Walsh |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:19 | 2:19 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 155 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -37 |
Alan Jouban earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:19, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Alan Jouban | Richard Walsh |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 25 | 20 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 12 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 121 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Alan Jouban slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Alan Jouban capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alan Jouban | Richard Walsh |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 0:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 011 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Alan Jouban | Richard Walsh |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 162 |
| Activity ELO | 1 059 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -21 |
Alan Jouban demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alan Jouban capitalized on this activity level, while Richard Walsh's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alan Jouban | Richard Walsh |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Alan Jouban started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Richard Walsh is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alan Jouban | Richard Walsh |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.