Alan Jouban vs Seth Baczynski

August 15, 2014

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1052
(+52)
Alan Jouban
Winner: Alan Jouban
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 4:23

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alan Jouban+52
Seth Baczynski-44
1012
(-44)
Seth Baczynski

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Jouban: +84Seth Baczynski: -84

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan JoubanSeth Baczynski
Total UFC Fights110
Experience Gap-99
Experience ELO1 084925
ELO Change+84-84
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What Happened

Alan Jouban overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Seth Baczynski.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Jouban: +22Seth Baczynski: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan JoubanSeth Baczynski
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0221 002
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Jouban: +120Seth Baczynski: -56

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan JoubanSeth Baczynski
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:234:23
Win Type ELO1 1201 062
ELO Change+120-56
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What Happened

Alan Jouban earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:23, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Jouban: +91Seth Baczynski: -91

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan JoubanSeth Baczynski
Significant Strikes Landed2525
Significant Strikes Attempted4365
Total Strikes Landed2627
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 091938
ELO Change+91-91
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What Happened

Alan Jouban controlled the striking exchanges with 58.1% vs 38.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Alan Jouban capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Jouban: +26Seth Baczynski: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan JoubanSeth Baczynski
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time0:170:43
Ground Strikes Landed22
Ground ELO1 0261 052
ELO Change+26-26
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What Happened

Alan Jouban landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Jouban: +28Seth Baczynski: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan JoubanSeth Baczynski
Days Since Last FightN/A119
Activity ELO1 0281 088
ELO Change+28-28
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What Happened

Alan Jouban demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Alan Jouban capitalized on this activity level, while Seth Baczynski's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Jouban: +26Seth Baczynski: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan JoubanSeth Baczynski
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 0261 024
ELO Change+26-24
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What Happened

Alan Jouban started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Seth Baczynski is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alan Jouban: +22Seth Baczynski: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricAlan JoubanSeth Baczynski
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0221 001
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.