January 31, 2014
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alan Patrick | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 080 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -42 |
Alan Patrick overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran John Makdessi.
| Metric | Alan Patrick | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 044 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alan Patrick | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 145 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -55 |
Alan Patrick earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alan Patrick | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 40 | 61 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 134 | 129 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 42 | 66 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 124 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
John Makdessi controlled the striking through superior volume (66 vs 42 total strikes), significant strike advantage (61 vs 40), superior accuracy (47.3% vs 29.9%). However, since John Makdessi lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Alan Patrick's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alan Patrick | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:40 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 093 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Alan Patrick edged out John Makdessi on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:40 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alan Patrick | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 116 | 134 |
| Activity ELO | 1 089 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -27 |
Alan Patrick demonstrated solid activity levels with 116 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alan Patrick capitalized on this activity level, while John Makdessi's 134-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alan Patrick | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 052 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -24 |
Alan Patrick extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Makdessi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alan Patrick | John Makdessi |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 044 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.