June 19, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alan Patrick | Mairbek Taisumov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 046 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Mairbek Taisumov's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mairbek Taisumov for the expected result. Had Alan Patrick pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alan Patrick | Mairbek Taisumov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 023 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alan Patrick | Mairbek Taisumov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:30 | 1:30 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 105 | 1 242 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +83 |
Mairbek Taisumov gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Alan Patrick | Mairbek Taisumov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 38 | 43 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 17 | 24 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 039 | 1 239 |
| ELO Change | -85 | +85 |
Mairbek Taisumov controlled the striking exchanges with 23 vs 17 significant strikes, 53.5% vs 44.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Mairbek Taisumov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alan Patrick | Mairbek Taisumov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:23 | 0:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 1 041 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +52 |
Mairbek Taisumov landed 1 knockdown followed by 8 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Alan Patrick | Mairbek Taisumov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 504 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 067 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +44 |
Mairbek Taisumov demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mairbek Taisumov capitalized on this activity level, while Alan Patrick's 504-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alan Patrick | Mairbek Taisumov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 031 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +28 |
Mairbek Taisumov extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alan Patrick is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alan Patrick | Mairbek Taisumov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

