October 2, 2020
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alatengheili | Casey Kenney |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 040 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Casey Kenney's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Casey Kenney for the expected result. Had Alatengheili pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alatengheili | Casey Kenney |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alatengheili | Casey Kenney |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 023 | 1 177 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Casey Kenney earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alatengheili | Casey Kenney |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 46 | 109 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 171 | 263 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 46 | 109 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 006 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Casey Kenney dominated the striking exchanges with 109 vs 46 total strikes, 109 vs 46 significant strikes, 41.4% vs 26.9% accuracy. Casey Kenney capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alatengheili | Casey Kenney |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 055 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Alatengheili | Casey Kenney |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 287 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 053 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +38 |
Casey Kenney demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Casey Kenney capitalized on this activity level, while Alatengheili's 287-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alatengheili | Casey Kenney |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 027 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Casey Kenney extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alatengheili is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alatengheili | Casey Kenney |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

