March 24, 2023
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Albert Duraev | Chidi Njokuani |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 067 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Albert Duraev | Chidi Njokuani |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Albert Duraev | Chidi Njokuani |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 036 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Albert Duraev receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Albert Duraev | Chidi Njokuani |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 45 | 40 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 123 | 99 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 68 | 44 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 999 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Albert Duraev edged the striking exchanges with 68 vs 44 total strikes, 45 vs 40 significant strikes. Albert Duraev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Albert Duraev | Chidi Njokuani |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:02 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 100 | 948 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -71 |
Albert Duraev controlled Chidi Njokuani on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 4:02 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Albert Duraev | Chidi Njokuani |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 281 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 1 031 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Albert Duraev demonstrated standard activity with 281 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Albert Duraev capitalized on this activity level, while Chidi Njokuani's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Albert Duraev | Chidi Njokuani |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -22 |
Albert Duraev started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chidi Njokuani is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Albert Duraev | Chidi Njokuani |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.