June 17, 2022
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Albert Duraev | Joaquin Buckley |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 030 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Joaquin Buckley's 5-fight experience advantage (7 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Joaquin Buckley for the expected result. Had Albert Duraev pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Albert Duraev | Joaquin Buckley |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Albert Duraev | Joaquin Buckley |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 021 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Joaquin Buckley gained a finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Albert Duraev | Joaquin Buckley |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 50 | 105 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 17 | 30 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 956 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | -84 | +84 |
Joaquin Buckley dominated the striking exchanges with 27 vs 10 significant strikes, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Joaquin Buckley capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Albert Duraev | Joaquin Buckley |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:48 | 0:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 029 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Joaquin Buckley landed 2 knockdowns followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Albert Duraev | Joaquin Buckley |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 231 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 007 | 1 199 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +31 |
Joaquin Buckley demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joaquin Buckley capitalized on this activity level, while Albert Duraev's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Albert Duraev | Joaquin Buckley |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 003 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
Joaquin Buckley extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Albert Duraev is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Albert Duraev | Joaquin Buckley |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.