July 14, 2023
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Albert Duraev | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 041 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
JunYong Park's 5-fight experience advantage (9 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding JunYong Park for the expected result. Had Albert Duraev pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Albert Duraev | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 004 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Albert Duraev | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:45 | 4:45 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 008 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +44 |
JunYong Park earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:45, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Albert Duraev was submitted.
| Metric | Albert Duraev | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 31 | 50 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 77 | 96 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 35 | 77 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 954 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
JunYong Park controlled the striking exchanges with 77 vs 35 total strikes, 50 vs 31 significant strikes, 52.1% vs 40.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. JunYong Park capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Albert Duraev | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:14 | 1:59 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 016 | 1 264 |
| ELO Change | -84 | +84 |
JunYong Park dominated Albert Duraev on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:59 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Albert Duraev | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 017 | 1 174 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +25 |
JunYong Park demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, JunYong Park capitalized on this activity level, while Albert Duraev's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Albert Duraev | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 011 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +24 |
JunYong Park extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Albert Duraev is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Albert Duraev | JunYong Park |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 004 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

