Albert Morales vs Thomas Almeida

November 18, 2016

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

980
(-25)
Albert Morales
Winner: Thomas Almeida
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 1:37

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Albert Morales-25
Thomas Almeida+30
1127
(+30)
Thomas Almeida

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Albert Morales: -22Thomas Almeida: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricAlbert MoralesThomas Almeida
Total UFC Fights26
Experience Gap-44
Experience ELO9911 140
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

Thomas Almeida's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Thomas Almeida for the expected result. Had Albert Morales pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Albert Morales: -18Thomas Almeida: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricAlbert MoralesThomas Almeida
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9841 072
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Albert Morales: -21Thomas Almeida: +43

Performance Statistics

MetricAlbert MoralesThomas Almeida
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:371:37
Win Type ELO9861 241
ELO Change-21+43
💡

What Happened

Thomas Almeida gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Albert Morales: -73Thomas Almeida: +73

Performance Statistics

MetricAlbert MoralesThomas Almeida
Significant Strikes Landed1841
Significant Strikes Attempted7479
Total Strikes Landed1842
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9341 195
ELO Change-73+73
💡

What Happened

Thomas Almeida controlled the striking exchanges with 42 vs 18 total strikes, 41 vs 18 significant strikes, 51.9% vs 24.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Thomas Almeida capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Albert Morales: -19Thomas Almeida: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAlbert MoralesThomas Almeida
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time0:360:06
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO9841 055
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

Thomas Almeida did not secure a significant ground advantage against Albert Morales on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Albert Morales: -14Thomas Almeida: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricAlbert MoralesThomas Almeida
Days Since Last Fight64175
Activity ELO9901 150
ELO Change-14+24
💡

What Happened

Thomas Almeida demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Thomas Almeida capitalized on this activity level, while Albert Morales's 64-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Albert Morales: -17Thomas Almeida: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAlbert MoralesThomas Almeida
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9861 091
ELO Change-17+19
💡

What Happened

Thomas Almeida started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Albert Morales is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Albert Morales: -18Thomas Almeida: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricAlbert MoralesThomas Almeida
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9841 071
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.