February 14, 2014
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Albert Tumenov | Ildemar Alcantara |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 969 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Ildemar Alcantara's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ildemar Alcantara for the expected result. Had Albert Tumenov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Albert Tumenov | Ildemar Alcantara |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Albert Tumenov | Ildemar Alcantara |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 991 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Ildemar Alcantara receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Albert Tumenov | Ildemar Alcantara |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 50 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 71 | 87 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 50 | 75 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 967 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Ildemar Alcantara controlled the striking exchanges with 75 vs 50 total strikes, 50 vs 32 significant strikes, 57.5% vs 45.1% accuracy. Ildemar Alcantara capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Albert Tumenov | Ildemar Alcantara |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:15 | 5:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 14 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 957 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Ildemar Alcantara controlled Albert Tumenov on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 5:21 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Albert Tumenov | Ildemar Alcantara |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 130 |
| Activity ELO | 981 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +38 |
Ildemar Alcantara demonstrated solid activity levels with 130 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ildemar Alcantara capitalized on this activity level, while Albert Tumenov's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Albert Tumenov | Ildemar Alcantara |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Ildemar Alcantara started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Albert Tumenov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Albert Tumenov | Ildemar Alcantara |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

