January 1, 2016
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Albert Tumenov | Lorenz Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 136 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -27 |
Albert Tumenov overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Lorenz Larkin.
| Metric | Albert Tumenov | Lorenz Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 082 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Albert Tumenov | Lorenz Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 292 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | +7 | -7 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Albert Tumenov receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Albert Tumenov | Lorenz Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 76 | 69 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 194 | 155 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 76 | 69 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 331 | 1 148 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
Albert Tumenov slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 76 vs 69 significant strikes. Albert Tumenov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Albert Tumenov | Lorenz Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:17 | 0:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 097 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Albert Tumenov did not secure a significant ground advantage against Lorenz Larkin on the ground with 0:17 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Albert Tumenov | Lorenz Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 92 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 1 198 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -16 |
Albert Tumenov demonstrated solid activity levels with 92 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Albert Tumenov capitalized on this activity level, while Lorenz Larkin's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Albert Tumenov | Lorenz Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 119 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -17 |
Albert Tumenov continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Lorenz Larkin's now at 0.
| Metric | Albert Tumenov | Lorenz Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 082 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

