Albert Tumenov vs Matt Dwyer

October 3, 2014

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1076
(+49)
Albert Tumenov
Winner: Albert Tumenov
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:03

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Albert Tumenov+49
Matt Dwyer-40
960
(-40)
Matt Dwyer

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Albert Tumenov: +32Matt Dwyer: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricAlbert TumenovMatt Dwyer
Total UFC Fights31
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 032969
ELO Change+32-31
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What Happened

Albert Tumenov's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Albert Tumenov for the expected result. Had Matt Dwyer pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Albert Tumenov: +21Matt Dwyer: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlbert TumenovMatt Dwyer
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 022979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Albert Tumenov: +80Matt Dwyer: -33

Performance Statistics

MetricAlbert TumenovMatt Dwyer
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:031:03
Win Type ELO1 154967
ELO Change+80-33
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What Happened

Albert Tumenov earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:03, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Albert Tumenov: +116Matt Dwyer: -116

Performance Statistics

MetricAlbert TumenovMatt Dwyer
Significant Strikes Landed40
Significant Strikes Attempted126
Total Strikes Landed40
Knockdowns Scored20
Striking ELO1 234884
ELO Change+116-116
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What Happened

Albert Tumenov dominated the striking exchanges with 33.3% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Albert Tumenov capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Albert Tumenov: +56Matt Dwyer: -56

Performance Statistics

MetricAlbert TumenovMatt Dwyer
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:020:05
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO1 033944
ELO Change+56-56
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What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Albert Tumenov: +37Matt Dwyer: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricAlbert TumenovMatt Dwyer
Days Since Last Fight147N/A
Activity ELO1 081982
ELO Change+37-18
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What Happened

Albert Tumenov demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Albert Tumenov capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Dwyer's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Albert Tumenov: +25Matt Dwyer: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlbert TumenovMatt Dwyer
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 028979
ELO Change+25-21
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What Happened

Albert Tumenov extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Dwyer is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Albert Tumenov: +21Matt Dwyer: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlbert TumenovMatt Dwyer
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 022979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.