October 3, 2014
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Albert Tumenov | Matt Dwyer |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 032 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -31 |
Albert Tumenov's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Albert Tumenov for the expected result. Had Matt Dwyer pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Albert Tumenov | Matt Dwyer |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Albert Tumenov | Matt Dwyer |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:03 | 1:03 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 154 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +80 | -33 |
Albert Tumenov earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:03, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Albert Tumenov | Matt Dwyer |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 12 | 6 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 234 | 884 |
| ELO Change | +116 | -116 |
Albert Tumenov dominated the striking exchanges with 33.3% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Albert Tumenov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Albert Tumenov | Matt Dwyer |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 033 | 944 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Albert Tumenov | Matt Dwyer |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 081 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -18 |
Albert Tumenov demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Albert Tumenov capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Dwyer's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Albert Tumenov | Matt Dwyer |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Albert Tumenov extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Dwyer is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Albert Tumenov | Matt Dwyer |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

