Alberto Crane vs Roger Huerta

August 24, 2007

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

979
(-21)
Alberto Crane
Winner: Roger Huerta
KO/TKO
Round 3 • 1:50

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alberto Crane-21
Roger Huerta+29
1176
(+29)
Roger Huerta

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alberto Crane: -22Roger Huerta: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricAlberto CraneRoger Huerta
Total UFC Fights15
Experience Gap-44
Experience ELO9781 125
ELO Change-22+22
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What Happened

Roger Huerta's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Roger Huerta for the expected result. Had Alberto Crane pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alberto Crane: -16Roger Huerta: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricAlberto CraneRoger Huerta
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9841 093
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alberto Crane: -18Roger Huerta: +37

Performance Statistics

MetricAlberto CraneRoger Huerta
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round33
Time of Finish1:501:50
Win Type ELO9821 257
ELO Change-18+37
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What Happened

Roger Huerta gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alberto Crane: -48Roger Huerta: +48

Performance Statistics

MetricAlberto CraneRoger Huerta
Significant Strikes Landed426
Significant Strikes Attempted664
Total Strikes Landed1497
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9521 259
ELO Change-48+48
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What Happened

Roger Huerta dominated the striking exchanges with 97 vs 14 total strikes, 26 vs 4 significant strikes, 40.6% vs 66.7% accuracy. Roger Huerta capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alberto Crane: -23Roger Huerta: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricAlberto CraneRoger Huerta
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted70
Ground Control Time3:456:32
Ground Strikes Landed023
Ground ELO9771 263
ELO Change-23+23
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What Happened

Roger Huerta controlled Alberto Crane on the ground with 6:32 of control time, 23 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alberto Crane: -12Roger Huerta: +37

Performance Statistics

MetricAlberto CraneRoger Huerta
Days Since Last FightN/A63
Activity ELO9881 192
ELO Change-12+37
💡

What Happened

Roger Huerta demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 63 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Roger Huerta capitalized on this activity level, while Alberto Crane's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alberto Crane: -15Roger Huerta: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricAlberto CraneRoger Huerta
Win Streak05
Win Streak ELO9851 123
ELO Change-15+29
💡

What Happened

Roger Huerta continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Alberto Crane's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alberto Crane: -16Roger Huerta: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricAlberto CraneRoger Huerta
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9841 093
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.