May 28, 2016
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alberto Uda | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 966 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Jake Collier's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jake Collier for the expected result. Had Alberto Uda pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alberto Uda | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alberto Uda | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:06 | 1:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 950 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +103 |
Jake Collier gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Alberto Uda | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 27 | 54 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 28 | 34 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 888 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -112 | +112 |
Jake Collier controlled the striking exchanges with 27 vs 15 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jake Collier capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alberto Uda | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:23 | 2:36 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 939 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +61 |
Jake Collier landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Alberto Uda | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +27 |
Jake Collier demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jake Collier capitalized on this activity level, while Alberto Uda's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alberto Uda | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Jake Collier started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alberto Uda is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alberto Uda | Jake Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.