April 13, 2018
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alejandro Perez | Matthew Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 143 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Alejandro Perez's 3-fight experience advantage (8 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alejandro Perez for the expected result. Had Matthew Lopez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alejandro Perez | Matthew Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 090 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alejandro Perez | Matthew Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:42 | 3:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 267 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -35 |
Alejandro Perez gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Alejandro Perez | Matthew Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 100 | 36 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 81 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 195 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -59 |
Alejandro Perez controlled the striking exchanges with 81 vs 32 total strikes, 44 vs 22 significant strikes, 44.0% vs 61.1% accuracy. Alejandro Perez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alejandro Perez | Matthew Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:28 | 3:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 138 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Alejandro Perez did not secure a significant ground advantage against Matthew Lopez on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:28 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Alejandro Perez | Matthew Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 169 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -16 |
Alejandro Perez demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alejandro Perez capitalized on this activity level, while Matthew Lopez's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alejandro Perez | Matthew Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 109 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -18 |
Alejandro Perez extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matthew Lopez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alejandro Perez | Matthew Lopez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 090 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.