October 26, 2024
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Aleksandar Rakic | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 198 | 1 364 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Magomed Ankalaev's 4-fight experience advantage (14 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Magomed Ankalaev for the expected result. Had Aleksandar Rakic pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Aleksandar Rakic | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 060 | 1 197 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Aleksandar Rakic | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 351 | 1 678 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
Magomed Ankalaev earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Aleksandar Rakic | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 53 | 55 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 117 | 114 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 75 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 288 | 1 610 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +7 |
Magomed Ankalaev edged the striking exchanges. Magomed Ankalaev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Aleksandar Rakic | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:00 | 1:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 161 | 1 448 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
Magomed Ankalaev did not secure a significant ground advantage against Aleksandar Rakic on the ground with 1:31 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Aleksandar Rakic | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 288 |
| Activity ELO | 1 149 | 1 400 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
Magomed Ankalaev demonstrated standard activity with 288 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Magomed Ankalaev capitalized on this activity level, while Aleksandar Rakic's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Aleksandar Rakic | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 093 | 1 350 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +10 |
Magomed Ankalaev extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Aleksandar Rakic is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Aleksandar Rakic | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 050 | 1 190 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

