Aleksandar Rakic vs Magomed Ankalaev

October 26, 2024

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1169
(-12)
Aleksandar Rakic
Winner: Magomed Ankalaev
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Aleksandar Rakic-12
Magomed Ankalaev+12
1405
(+12)
Magomed Ankalaev

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksandar Rakic: -21Magomed Ankalaev: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksandar RakicMagomed Ankalaev
Total UFC Fights1014
Experience Gap-44
Experience ELO1 1981 364
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

Magomed Ankalaev's 4-fight experience advantage (14 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Magomed Ankalaev for the expected result. Had Aleksandar Rakic pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksandar Rakic: -15Magomed Ankalaev: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksandar RakicMagomed Ankalaev
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0601 197
ELO Change-15+15
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksandar Rakic: -12Magomed Ankalaev: +12

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksandar RakicMagomed Ankalaev
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 3511 678
ELO Change-12+12
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What Happened

Magomed Ankalaev earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksandar Rakic: -7Magomed Ankalaev: +7

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksandar RakicMagomed Ankalaev
Significant Strikes Landed5355
Significant Strikes Attempted117114
Total Strikes Landed5975
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2881 610
ELO Change-7+7
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What Happened

Magomed Ankalaev edged the striking exchanges. Magomed Ankalaev capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksandar Rakic: -8Magomed Ankalaev: +8

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksandar RakicMagomed Ankalaev
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time1:001:31
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 1611 448
ELO Change-8+8
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What Happened

Magomed Ankalaev did not secure a significant ground advantage against Aleksandar Rakic on the ground with 1:31 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksandar Rakic: -9Magomed Ankalaev: +9

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksandar RakicMagomed Ankalaev
Days Since Last Fight197288
Activity ELO1 1491 400
ELO Change-9+9
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What Happened

Magomed Ankalaev demonstrated standard activity with 288 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Magomed Ankalaev capitalized on this activity level, while Aleksandar Rakic's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksandar Rakic: -9Magomed Ankalaev: +10

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksandar RakicMagomed Ankalaev
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0931 350
ELO Change-9+10
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What Happened

Magomed Ankalaev extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Aleksandar Rakic is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksandar Rakic: -15Magomed Ankalaev: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksandar RakicMagomed Ankalaev
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0501 190
ELO Change-15+15
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.