Aleksandar Rakic vs Thiago Santos

March 5, 2021

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1239
(+35)
Aleksandar Rakic
Winner: Aleksandar Rakic
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Aleksandar Rakic+35
Thiago Santos-30
1236
(-30)
Thiago Santos

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksandar Rakic: +61Thiago Santos: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksandar RakicThiago Santos
Total UFC Fights721
Experience Gap-1414
Experience ELO1 2801 186
ELO Change+61-31
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What Happened

Aleksandar Rakic overcame a 14-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 21 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Thiago Santos.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksandar Rakic: +23Thiago Santos: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksandar RakicThiago Santos
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1071 099
ELO Change+23-23
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksandar Rakic: +55Thiago Santos: -55

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksandar RakicThiago Santos
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 4291 432
ELO Change+55-55
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What Happened

Aleksandar Rakic earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksandar Rakic: +27Thiago Santos: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksandar RakicThiago Santos
Significant Strikes Landed3649
Significant Strikes Attempted8997
Total Strikes Landed5061
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 3911 433
ELO Change+27-27
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What Happened

Thiago Santos controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (49 vs 36), superior accuracy (50.5% vs 40.4%). However, since Thiago Santos lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Aleksandar Rakic's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksandar Rakic: +25Thiago Santos: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksandar RakicThiago Santos
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted21
Ground Control Time2:320:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 2631 190
ELO Change+25-25
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What Happened

Aleksandar Rakic did not secure a significant ground advantage against Thiago Santos on the ground with 2:32 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksandar Rakic: +39Thiago Santos: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksandar RakicThiago Santos
Days Since Last Fight190119
Activity ELO1 1951 312
ELO Change+39-31
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What Happened

Aleksandar Rakic demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Aleksandar Rakic capitalized on this activity level, while Thiago Santos's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksandar Rakic: +30Thiago Santos: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksandar RakicThiago Santos
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 1401 147
ELO Change+30-25
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What Happened

Aleksandar Rakic extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Thiago Santos is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksandar Rakic: +23Thiago Santos: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksandar RakicThiago Santos
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1071 092
ELO Change+23-23
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.