Aleksandar Rakic vs Volkan Oezdemir

December 20, 2019

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1150
(-21)
Aleksandar Rakic
Winner: Volkan Oezdemir
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Aleksandar Rakic-21
Volkan Oezdemir+24
1208
(+24)
Volkan Oezdemir

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksandar Rakic: -33Volkan Oezdemir: +33

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksandar RakicVolkan Oezdemir
Total UFC Fights58
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO1 1611 205
ELO Change-33+33
💡

What Happened

Volkan Oezdemir's 3-fight experience advantage (8 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Volkan Oezdemir for the expected result. Had Aleksandar Rakic pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksandar Rakic: -23Volkan Oezdemir: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksandar RakicVolkan Oezdemir
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0611 072
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksandar Rakic: -7Volkan Oezdemir: +7

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksandar RakicVolkan Oezdemir
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 3081 428
ELO Change-7+7
💡

What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Volkan Oezdemir receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksandar Rakic: -15Volkan Oezdemir: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksandar RakicVolkan Oezdemir
Significant Strikes Landed7563
Significant Strikes Attempted147144
Total Strikes Landed87118
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2561 427
ELO Change-15+15
💡

What Happened

Volkan Oezdemir controlled the striking exchanges with 118 vs 87 total strikes, 63 vs 75 significant strikes. Volkan Oezdemir capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksandar Rakic: -24Volkan Oezdemir: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksandar RakicVolkan Oezdemir
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted90
Ground Control Time2:380:32
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 1561 151
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

Volkan Oezdemir did not secure a significant ground advantage against Aleksandar Rakic on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:32 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksandar Rakic: -18Volkan Oezdemir: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksandar RakicVolkan Oezdemir
Days Since Last Fight204134
Activity ELO1 1151 216
ELO Change-18+36
💡

What Happened

Volkan Oezdemir demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Volkan Oezdemir capitalized on this activity level, while Aleksandar Rakic's 204-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksandar Rakic: -23Volkan Oezdemir: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksandar RakicVolkan Oezdemir
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0831 097
ELO Change-23+28
💡

What Happened

Volkan Oezdemir extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Aleksandar Rakic is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksandar Rakic: -23Volkan Oezdemir: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksandar RakicVolkan Oezdemir
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0611 067
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.