February 8, 2025
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Aleksandre Topuria | Colby Thicknesse |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Aleksandre Topuria | Colby Thicknesse |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Aleksandre Topuria | Colby Thicknesse |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 042 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Aleksandre Topuria earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Aleksandre Topuria | Colby Thicknesse |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 41 | 38 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 79 | 127 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 65 | 40 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 029 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Aleksandre Topuria edged the striking exchanges with 65 vs 40 total strikes, 51.9% vs 29.9% accuracy. Aleksandre Topuria capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Aleksandre Topuria | Colby Thicknesse |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:02 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 069 | 931 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -69 |
Aleksandre Topuria controlled Colby Thicknesse on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 5:02 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Aleksandre Topuria | Colby Thicknesse |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Aleksandre Topuria demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Aleksandre Topuria capitalized on this activity level, while Colby Thicknesse's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Aleksandre Topuria | Colby Thicknesse |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Aleksandre Topuria started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Colby Thicknesse is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Aleksandre Topuria | Colby Thicknesse |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.