September 14, 2018
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Aleksei Kunchenko | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 24 |
| Experience Gap | -23 | 23 |
| Experience ELO | 1 114 | 894 |
| ELO Change | +114 | -114 |
Aleksei Kunchenko overcame a 23-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 24 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Thiago Alves.
| Metric | Aleksei Kunchenko | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 026 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Aleksei Kunchenko | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 071 | 1 220 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -71 |
Aleksei Kunchenko earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Aleksei Kunchenko | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 56 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 153 | 175 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 56 | 56 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 030 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Thiago Alves controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (56 vs 44). However, since Thiago Alves lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Aleksei Kunchenko's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Aleksei Kunchenko | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 033 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Aleksei Kunchenko did not secure a significant ground advantage against Thiago Alves on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Aleksei Kunchenko | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 209 |
| Activity ELO | 1 035 | 1 245 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Aleksei Kunchenko demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Aleksei Kunchenko capitalized on this activity level, while Thiago Alves's 209-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Aleksei Kunchenko | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 033 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -30 |
Aleksei Kunchenko started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Thiago Alves is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Aleksei Kunchenko | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 026 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

