Aleksei Oleinik vs Alistair Overeem

April 19, 2019

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1145
(-31)
Aleksei Oleinik
Winner: Alistair Overeem
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 4:45

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Aleksei Oleinik-31
Alistair Overeem+38
1266
(+38)
Alistair Overeem

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksei Oleinik: -25Alistair Overeem: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksei OleinikAlistair Overeem
Total UFC Fights916
Experience Gap-77
Experience ELO1 1461 274
ELO Change-25+25
💡

What Happened

Alistair Overeem's 7-fight experience advantage (16 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alistair Overeem for the expected result. Had Aleksei Oleinik pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksei Oleinik: -19Alistair Overeem: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksei OleinikAlistair Overeem
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0611 127
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksei Oleinik: -31Alistair Overeem: +66

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksei OleinikAlistair Overeem
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:454:45
Win Type ELO1 3731 567
ELO Change-31+66
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What Happened

Alistair Overeem earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:45, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksei Oleinik: -66Alistair Overeem: +66

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksei OleinikAlistair Overeem
Significant Strikes Landed3829
Significant Strikes Attempted5833
Total Strikes Landed7831
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 1161 324
ELO Change-66+66
💡

What Happened

Aleksei Oleinik controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (78 vs 31 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (38 vs 29), superior accuracy (65.5% vs 87.9%). However, since Aleksei Oleinik lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Alistair Overeem's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksei Oleinik: -57Alistair Overeem: +57

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksei OleinikAlistair Overeem
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time1:231:12
Ground Strikes Landed012
Ground ELO1 1701 252
ELO Change-57+57
💡

What Happened

Alistair Overeem landed 1 knockdown followed by 12 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksei Oleinik: -15Alistair Overeem: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksei OleinikAlistair Overeem
Days Since Last Fight217147
Activity ELO1 1521 297
ELO Change-15+30
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What Happened

Alistair Overeem demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alistair Overeem capitalized on this activity level, while Aleksei Oleinik's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksei Oleinik: -18Alistair Overeem: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksei OleinikAlistair Overeem
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0831 171
ELO Change-18+22
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What Happened

Alistair Overeem extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Aleksei Oleinik is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksei Oleinik: -20Alistair Overeem: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksei OleinikAlistair Overeem
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0591 113
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.