November 3, 2017
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Curtis Blaydes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 085 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +41 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Curtis Blaydes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 040 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Curtis Blaydes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:39 | 1:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 257 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Curtis Blaydes gained a finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Curtis Blaydes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 34 | 39 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 68 | 101 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 41 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 136 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | -80 | +80 |
Curtis Blaydes controlled the striking exchanges with 39 vs 34 significant strikes, 38.6% vs 50.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Curtis Blaydes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Curtis Blaydes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:15 | 1:53 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 166 | 1 223 |
| ELO Change | -120 | +120 |
Curtis Blaydes landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Curtis Blaydes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 120 | 120 |
| Activity ELO | 1 095 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +49 |
Curtis Blaydes demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Curtis Blaydes capitalized on this activity level, while Aleksei Oleinik's 120-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Curtis Blaydes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 054 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +29 |
Curtis Blaydes extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Aleksei Oleinik is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Curtis Blaydes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 039 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

