July 12, 2016
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Daniel Omielanczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 030 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Daniel Omielanczuk's 3-fight experience advantage (6 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Daniel Omielanczuk for the expected result. Had Aleksei Oleinik pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Daniel Omielanczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 023 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Daniel Omielanczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Majority | Decision - Majority |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 163 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
The Decision - Majority showed mixed judging, with Daniel Omielanczuk earning reduced bonuses for the unclear victory margin.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Daniel Omielanczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 28 | 37 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 60 | 100 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 121 | 1 213 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Daniel Omielanczuk controlled the striking exchanges with 100 vs 60 total strikes, 26 vs 8 significant strikes, 70.3% vs 28.6% accuracy. Daniel Omielanczuk capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Daniel Omielanczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:23 | 3:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 1 091 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Daniel Omielanczuk slightly outworked Aleksei Oleinik on the ground with 1 takedown, 3:57 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning modest grappling bonuses.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Daniel Omielanczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 599 | 137 |
| Activity ELO | 1 054 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +44 |
Daniel Omielanczuk demonstrated solid activity levels with 137 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Daniel Omielanczuk capitalized on this activity level, while Aleksei Oleinik's 599-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Daniel Omielanczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 030 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +29 |
Daniel Omielanczuk extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Aleksei Oleinik is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Daniel Omielanczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.