May 8, 2020
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Fabricio Werdum |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 185 | 1 191 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -40 |
Aleksei Oleinik overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (12 vs 17 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Fabricio Werdum.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Fabricio Werdum |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 086 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Fabricio Werdum |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 365 | 1 515 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Aleksei Oleinik receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Fabricio Werdum |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 94 | 53 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 183 | 83 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 149 | 70 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 133 | 1 285 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -65 |
Aleksei Oleinik dominated the striking exchanges with 149 vs 70 total strikes, 94 vs 53 significant strikes, 51.4% vs 63.9% accuracy. Aleksei Oleinik capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Fabricio Werdum |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:53 | 3:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 266 | 1 318 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Aleksei Oleinik did not secure a significant ground advantage against Fabricio Werdum on the ground with 0 takedowns, 3:53 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Fabricio Werdum |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 784 |
| Activity ELO | 1 222 | 1 267 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -29 |
Aleksei Oleinik demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Aleksei Oleinik capitalized on this activity level, while Fabricio Werdum's 784-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Fabricio Werdum |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 114 | 1 177 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -28 |
Aleksei Oleinik extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Fabricio Werdum is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Fabricio Werdum |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 081 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.