May 11, 2018
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Junior Albini |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 113 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Aleksei Oleinik's 4-fight experience advantage (7 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Aleksei Oleinik for the expected result. Had Junior Albini pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Junior Albini |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 059 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Junior Albini |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:45 | 1:45 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 303 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -24 |
Aleksei Oleinik earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:45, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Junior Albini |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 17 | 15 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 153 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Junior Albini lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Aleksei Oleinik's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Junior Albini |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:15 | 0:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 193 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Junior Albini |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 182 |
| Activity ELO | 1 115 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -16 |
Aleksei Oleinik demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Aleksei Oleinik capitalized on this activity level, while Junior Albini's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Junior Albini |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 074 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -18 |
Aleksei Oleinik started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Junior Albini is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Junior Albini |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 058 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.