Aleksei Oleinik vs Maurice Greene

January 17, 2020

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1141
(+37)
Aleksei Oleinik
Winner: Aleksei Oleinik
Submission
Round 2 • 4:38

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Aleksei Oleinik+37
Maurice Greene-35
1017
(-35)
Maurice Greene

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksei Oleinik: +26Maurice Greene: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksei OleinikMaurice Greene
Total UFC Fights115
Experience Gap6-6
Experience ELO1 1311 014
ELO Change+26-26
💡

What Happened

Aleksei Oleinik's 6-fight experience advantage (11 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Aleksei Oleinik for the expected result. Had Maurice Greene pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksei Oleinik: +21Maurice Greene: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksei OleinikMaurice Greene
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0581 013
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksei Oleinik: +30Maurice Greene: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksei OleinikMaurice Greene
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish4:384:38
Win Type ELO1 3491 088
ELO Change+30-19
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What Happened

Aleksei Oleinik earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:38, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Maurice Greene was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksei Oleinik: +21Maurice Greene: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksei OleinikMaurice Greene
Significant Strikes Landed713
Significant Strikes Attempted2229
Total Strikes Landed2538
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0681 021
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Maurice Greene controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (13 vs 7), superior accuracy (44.8% vs 31.8%). However, since Maurice Greene lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Aleksei Oleinik's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksei Oleinik: +135Maurice Greene: -135

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksei OleinikMaurice Greene
Takedowns Landed30
Takedowns Attempted30
Ground Control Time7:240:54
Ground Strikes Landed30
Ground ELO1 239897
ELO Change+135-135
💡

What Happened

Aleksei Oleinik dominated Maurice Greene on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 7:24 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksei Oleinik: +23Maurice Greene: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksei OleinikMaurice Greene
Days Since Last Fight18385
Activity ELO1 1491 065
ELO Change+23-18
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What Happened

Aleksei Oleinik demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Aleksei Oleinik capitalized on this activity level, while Maurice Greene's 85-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksei Oleinik: +22Maurice Greene: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksei OleinikMaurice Greene
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 0801 024
ELO Change+22-20
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What Happened

Aleksei Oleinik started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Maurice Greene is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Aleksei Oleinik: +21Maurice Greene: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAleksei OleinikMaurice Greene
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0561 012
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.