January 14, 2017
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Viktor Pesta |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 056 | 924 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Viktor Pesta |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 040 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Viktor Pesta |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:57 | 2:57 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 194 | 917 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -18 |
Aleksei Oleinik earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:57, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Viktor Pesta |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 15 | 19 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 11 | 18 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 127 | 820 |
| ELO Change | +6 | -6 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Viktor Pesta lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Aleksei Oleinik's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Viktor Pesta |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:34 | 1:43 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 125 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Aleksei Oleinik edged out Viktor Pesta on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:34 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Viktor Pesta |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 187 | 163 |
| Activity ELO | 1 074 | 952 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -16 |
Aleksei Oleinik demonstrated standard activity with 187 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Aleksei Oleinik capitalized on this activity level, while Viktor Pesta's 163-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Viktor Pesta |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 049 | 946 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -17 |
Aleksei Oleinik started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Viktor Pesta is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Aleksei Oleinik | Viktor Pesta |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 040 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.