Alessandro Costa vs Amir Albazi

December 16, 2022

Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

970
(-30)
Alessandro Costa
Winner: Amir Albazi
KO/TKO
Round 3 • 2:13

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alessandro Costa-30
Amir Albazi+36
1142
(+36)
Amir Albazi

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alessandro Costa: -24Amir Albazi: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessandro CostaAmir Albazi
Total UFC Fights14
Experience Gap-33
Experience ELO9761 105
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

Amir Albazi's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Amir Albazi for the expected result. Had Alessandro Costa pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alessandro Costa: -17Amir Albazi: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessandro CostaAmir Albazi
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9831 076
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alessandro Costa: -24Amir Albazi: +48

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessandro CostaAmir Albazi
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round33
Time of Finish2:132:13
Win Type ELO9761 208
ELO Change-24+48
💡

What Happened

Amir Albazi gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alessandro Costa: -94Amir Albazi: +94

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessandro CostaAmir Albazi
Significant Strikes Landed1737
Significant Strikes Attempted7181
Total Strikes Landed3862
Knockdowns Scored02
Striking ELO9061 199
ELO Change-94+94
💡

What Happened

Amir Albazi dominated the striking exchanges with 62 vs 38 total strikes, 37 vs 17 significant strikes, 45.7% vs 23.9% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Amir Albazi capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alessandro Costa: -27Amir Albazi: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessandro CostaAmir Albazi
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted04
Ground Control Time0:005:54
Ground Strikes Landed014
Ground ELO9731 283
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Amir Albazi landed 2 knockdowns followed by 14 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alessandro Costa: -17Amir Albazi: +35

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessandro CostaAmir Albazi
Days Since Last FightN/A120
Activity ELO9831 096
ELO Change-17+35
💡

What Happened

Amir Albazi demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Amir Albazi capitalized on this activity level, while Alessandro Costa's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alessandro Costa: -17Amir Albazi: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessandro CostaAmir Albazi
Win Streak04
Win Streak ELO9831 094
ELO Change-17+24
💡

What Happened

Amir Albazi extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alessandro Costa is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alessandro Costa: -17Amir Albazi: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessandro CostaAmir Albazi
Weight ClassFlyweightFlyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9831 076
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.