June 16, 2023
Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alessandro Costa | Jimmy Flick |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 015 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -36 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alessandro Costa | Jimmy Flick |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 005 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alessandro Costa | Jimmy Flick |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:03 | 1:03 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 073 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +97 | -47 |
Alessandro Costa gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Alessandro Costa | Jimmy Flick |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 65 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 91 | 37 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 65 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 036 | 786 |
| ELO Change | +130 | -130 |
Alessandro Costa dominated the striking exchanges with 65 vs 14 total strikes, 65 vs 14 significant strikes, 71.4% vs 37.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Alessandro Costa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alessandro Costa | Jimmy Flick |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:50 | 0:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 027 | 918 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -54 |
Alessandro Costa landed 1 knockdown followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Alessandro Costa | Jimmy Flick |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 011 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -22 |
Alessandro Costa demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Alessandro Costa capitalized on this activity level, while Jimmy Flick's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alessandro Costa | Jimmy Flick |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 007 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Alessandro Costa started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jimmy Flick is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alessandro Costa | Jimmy Flick |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 005 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.