Alessandro Costa vs Kevin Borjas

May 3, 2024

Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1036
(+44)
Alessandro Costa
Winner: Alessandro Costa
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 1:35

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alessandro Costa+44
Kevin Borjas-38
935
(-38)
Kevin Borjas

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alessandro Costa: +30Kevin Borjas: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessandro CostaKevin Borjas
Total UFC Fights42
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 020944
ELO Change+30-30
💡

What Happened

Alessandro Costa's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alessandro Costa for the expected result. Had Kevin Borjas pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alessandro Costa: +21Kevin Borjas: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessandro CostaKevin Borjas
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 006959
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alessandro Costa: +69Kevin Borjas: -34

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessandro CostaKevin Borjas
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:351:35
Win Type ELO1 097925
ELO Change+69-34
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What Happened

Alessandro Costa gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alessandro Costa: +98Kevin Borjas: -98

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessandro CostaKevin Borjas
Significant Strikes Landed4618
Significant Strikes Attempted8656
Total Strikes Landed6018
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 105863
ELO Change+98-98
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What Happened

Alessandro Costa controlled the striking exchanges with 60 vs 18 total strikes, 46 vs 18 significant strikes, 53.5% vs 32.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Alessandro Costa capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alessandro Costa: +55Kevin Borjas: -55

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessandro CostaKevin Borjas
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted22
Ground Control Time0:430:00
Ground Strikes Landed200
Ground ELO1 016912
ELO Change+55-55
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What Happened

Alessandro Costa controlled Kevin Borjas on the ground with 0:43 of control time, 20 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alessandro Costa: +36Kevin Borjas: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessandro CostaKevin Borjas
Days Since Last Fight175175
Activity ELO1 027960
ELO Change+36-20
💡

What Happened

Alessandro Costa demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alessandro Costa capitalized on this activity level, while Kevin Borjas's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alessandro Costa: +23Kevin Borjas: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessandro CostaKevin Borjas
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 010959
ELO Change+23-21
💡

What Happened

Alessandro Costa started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kevin Borjas is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alessandro Costa: +21Kevin Borjas: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessandro CostaKevin Borjas
Weight ClassFlyweightFlyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 006959
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.