May 3, 2024
Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alessandro Costa | Kevin Borjas |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 020 | 944 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Alessandro Costa's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alessandro Costa for the expected result. Had Kevin Borjas pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alessandro Costa | Kevin Borjas |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 006 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alessandro Costa | Kevin Borjas |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:35 | 1:35 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 097 | 925 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -34 |
Alessandro Costa gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Alessandro Costa | Kevin Borjas |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 46 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 86 | 56 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 60 | 18 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 105 | 863 |
| ELO Change | +98 | -98 |
Alessandro Costa controlled the striking exchanges with 60 vs 18 total strikes, 46 vs 18 significant strikes, 53.5% vs 32.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Alessandro Costa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alessandro Costa | Kevin Borjas |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:43 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 20 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 016 | 912 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -55 |
Alessandro Costa controlled Kevin Borjas on the ground with 0:43 of control time, 20 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alessandro Costa | Kevin Borjas |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 175 |
| Activity ELO | 1 027 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -20 |
Alessandro Costa demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alessandro Costa capitalized on this activity level, while Kevin Borjas's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alessandro Costa | Kevin Borjas |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 010 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Alessandro Costa started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kevin Borjas is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alessandro Costa | Kevin Borjas |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 006 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

