Alessandro Costa vs Stewart Nicoll

April 4, 2026

Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1022
(+37)
Alessandro Costa
Winner: Alessandro Costa
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 4:56

C-ELO Evolution

Alessandro Costa+37
Stewart Nicoll-32
907
(-32)
Stewart Nicoll

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alessandro Costa: +32Stewart Nicoll: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessandro CostaStewart Nicoll
Total UFC Fights63
Experience Gap3-3
Experience ELO976918
ELO Change+32-32
💡

What Happened

Alessandro Costa's 3-fight experience advantage (6 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alessandro Costa for the expected result. Had Stewart Nicoll pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alessandro Costa: +19Stewart Nicoll: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessandro CostaStewart Nicoll
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 004940
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alessandro Costa: +58Stewart Nicoll: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessandro CostaStewart Nicoll
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish4:564:56
Win Type ELO1 102899
ELO Change+58-28
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What Happened

Alessandro Costa gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alessandro Costa: +71Stewart Nicoll: -71

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessandro CostaStewart Nicoll
Significant Strikes Landed4347
Significant Strikes Attempted8999
Total Strikes Landed4747
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 056860
ELO Change+71-71
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What Happened

Alessandro Costa controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Alessandro Costa capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alessandro Costa: +53Stewart Nicoll: -53

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessandro CostaStewart Nicoll
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted35
Ground Control Time1:180:06
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO997813
ELO Change+53-53
💡

What Happened

Alessandro Costa landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alessandro Costa: +23Stewart Nicoll: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessandro CostaStewart Nicoll
Days Since Last Fight203175
Activity ELO1 027942
ELO Change+23-18
💡

What Happened

Alessandro Costa demonstrated standard activity with 203 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Alessandro Costa capitalized on this activity level, while Stewart Nicoll's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alessandro Costa: +21Stewart Nicoll: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessandro CostaStewart Nicoll
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 009941
ELO Change+21-19
💡

What Happened

Alessandro Costa started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Stewart Nicoll is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alessandro Costa: +19Stewart Nicoll: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessandro CostaStewart Nicoll
Weight ClassFlyweightFlyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 004940
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.