January 27, 2017
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Eric Spicely |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 995 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Eric Spicely |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Eric Spicely |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:14 | 2:14 |
| Win Type ELO | 944 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +46 |
Eric Spicely earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:14, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Eric Spicely |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 2 | 3 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 992 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 2 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Eric Spicely |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:46 | 0:51 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 937 | 1 183 |
| ELO Change | -106 | +106 |
Eric Spicely dominated Alessio Di Chirico on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:51 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Eric Spicely |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 127 |
| Activity ELO | 1 004 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +36 |
Eric Spicely demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Eric Spicely capitalized on this activity level, while Alessio Di Chirico's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Eric Spicely |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Eric Spicely extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alessio Di Chirico is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Eric Spicely |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.