January 15, 2021
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Joaquin Buckley |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 972 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Alessio Di Chirico's 5-fight experience advantage (9 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alessio Di Chirico for the expected result. Had Joaquin Buckley pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Joaquin Buckley |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 988 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Joaquin Buckley |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:12 | 2:12 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 103 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | +142 | -63 |
Alessio Di Chirico earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:12, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Joaquin Buckley |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 23 | 22 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 12 | 3 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 179 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +178 | -178 |
Alessio Di Chirico controlled the striking exchanges with 12 vs 3 significant strikes, 52.2% vs 13.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Alessio Di Chirico capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Joaquin Buckley |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 074 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -65 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Joaquin Buckley |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | 56 |
| Activity ELO | 1 055 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -30 |
Alessio Di Chirico demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alessio Di Chirico capitalized on this activity level, while Joaquin Buckley's 56-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Joaquin Buckley |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 999 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -25 |
Alessio Di Chirico started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joaquin Buckley is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Joaquin Buckley |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 988 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

