July 5, 2018
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Julian Marquez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 059 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Alessio Di Chirico's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alessio Di Chirico for the expected result. Had Julian Marquez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Julian Marquez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Julian Marquez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 062 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Alessio Di Chirico receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Julian Marquez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 50 | 47 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 116 | 147 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 55 | 49 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 107 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Alessio Di Chirico slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 43.1% vs 32.0% accuracy. Alessio Di Chirico capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Julian Marquez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:58 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 066 | 928 |
| ELO Change | +103 | -103 |
Alessio Di Chirico dominated Julian Marquez on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 3:58 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Julian Marquez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 202 | 202 |
| Activity ELO | 1 049 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -21 |
Alessio Di Chirico demonstrated standard activity with 202 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Alessio Di Chirico capitalized on this activity level, while Julian Marquez's 202-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Julian Marquez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 030 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -22 |
Alessio Di Chirico extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Julian Marquez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Julian Marquez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

