August 28, 2020
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 930 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Zak Cummings's 5-fight experience advantage (13 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Zak Cummings for the expected result. Had Alessio Di Chirico pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 963 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 961 | 1 263 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Zak Cummings earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 53 | 54 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 157 | 139 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 53 | 54 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 001 | 1 245 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Zak Cummings controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Zak Cummings capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 009 | 1 180 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 336 | 357 |
| Activity ELO | 995 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
Zak Cummings demonstrated standard activity with 357 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Zak Cummings capitalized on this activity level, while Alessio Di Chirico's 336-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 972 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +16 |
Zak Cummings started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alessio Di Chirico is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alessio Di Chirico | Zak Cummings |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 963 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

