March 2, 2011
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | Chris Weidman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 11 | -11 |
| Experience ELO | 949 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -98 | +98 |
Chris Weidman overcame a 11-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Alessio Sakara.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | Chris Weidman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | Chris Weidman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 219 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -71 | +71 |
Chris Weidman earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | Chris Weidman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 45 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 71 | 105 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 34 | 98 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 180 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -69 | +69 |
Chris Weidman dominated the striking exchanges with 98 vs 34 total strikes, 45 vs 27 significant strikes. Chris Weidman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | Chris Weidman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 7:59 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 18 |
| Ground ELO | 951 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | -119 | +119 |
Chris Weidman dominated Alessio Sakara on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 7:59 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | Chris Weidman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 347 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 084 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Chris Weidman demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Chris Weidman capitalized on this activity level, while Alessio Sakara's 347-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | Chris Weidman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 045 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +28 |
Chris Weidman started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alessio Sakara is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | Chris Weidman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 024 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

