September 7, 2007
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | Houston Alexander |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 921 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +23 |
Houston Alexander overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Alessio Sakara.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | Houston Alexander |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 977 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | Houston Alexander |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:01 | 1:01 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 036 | 1 244 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +70 |
Houston Alexander earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:01, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | Houston Alexander |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 5 | 36 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 18 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 967 | 1 313 |
| ELO Change | -91 | +91 |
Houston Alexander controlled the striking exchanges with 18 vs 1 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 20.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Houston Alexander capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | Houston Alexander |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:09 | 0:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 945 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Houston Alexander landed 1 knockdown followed by 13 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | Houston Alexander |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 1 008 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +53 |
Houston Alexander demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Houston Alexander capitalized on this activity level, while Alessio Sakara's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | Houston Alexander |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Houston Alexander extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alessio Sakara is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | Houston Alexander |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 977 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.