March 20, 2010
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | James Irvin |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 047 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Alessio Sakara's 2-fight experience advantage (11 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alessio Sakara for the expected result. Had James Irvin pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | James Irvin |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 048 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | James Irvin |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:01 | 3:01 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 290 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | +108 | -50 |
Alessio Sakara earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:01, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | James Irvin |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 29 | 16 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 249 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +115 | -115 |
Alessio Sakara controlled the striking exchanges with 13 vs 6 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Alessio Sakara capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | James Irvin |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 070 | 907 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | James Irvin |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 226 | 611 |
| Activity ELO | 1 112 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Alessio Sakara demonstrated standard activity with 226 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Alessio Sakara capitalized on this activity level, while James Irvin's 611-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | James Irvin |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 070 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -20 |
Alessio Sakara extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. James Irvin is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | James Irvin |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 048 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

