January 18, 2008
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | James Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 960 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Alessio Sakara's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alessio Sakara for the expected result. Had James Lee pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | James Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 999 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | James Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:30 | 1:30 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 126 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +90 | -38 |
Alessio Sakara earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:30, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | James Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 10 | 1 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 111 | 856 |
| ELO Change | +144 | -144 |
Alessio Sakara edged the striking exchanges with 8 vs 0 significant strikes, 80.0% vs 0.0% accuracy. Alessio Sakara capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | James Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:08 | 0:42 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 977 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Alessio Sakara did not secure a significant ground advantage against James Lee on the ground with 0 takedowns, 8 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | James Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 134 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 049 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -21 |
Alessio Sakara demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alessio Sakara capitalized on this activity level, while James Lee's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | James Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Alessio Sakara started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. James Lee is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | James Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 999 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.