October 25, 2013
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | Nicholas Musoke |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 14 | -14 |
| Experience ELO | 831 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -66 | +66 |
Nicholas Musoke overcame a 14-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Alessio Sakara.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | Nicholas Musoke |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 960 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | Nicholas Musoke |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:07 | 3:07 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 090 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +97 |
Nicholas Musoke earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:07, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | Nicholas Musoke |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 27 | 24 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 28 | 21 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 046 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Alessio Sakara controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (20 vs 12), superior accuracy (74.1% vs 50.0%). However, since Alessio Sakara lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Nicholas Musoke's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | Nicholas Musoke |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:47 | 1:47 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 843 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Nicholas Musoke controlled Alessio Sakara on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:47 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | Nicholas Musoke |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 343 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 020 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Nicholas Musoke demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Nicholas Musoke capitalized on this activity level, while Alessio Sakara's 343-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | Nicholas Musoke |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Nicholas Musoke started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Alessio Sakara is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alessio Sakara | Nicholas Musoke |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 960 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.