Alessio Sakara vs Victor Valimaki

April 20, 2007

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1009
(+52)
Alessio Sakara
Winner: Alessio Sakara
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:44

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alessio Sakara+52
Victor Valimaki-41
940
(-41)
Victor Valimaki

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alessio Sakara: +38Victor Valimaki: -38

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessio SakaraVictor Valimaki
Total UFC Fights52
Experience Gap3-3
Experience ELO939932
ELO Change+38-38
💡

What Happened

Alessio Sakara's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alessio Sakara for the expected result. Had Victor Valimaki pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alessio Sakara: +21Victor Valimaki: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessio SakaraVictor Valimaki
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO996959
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alessio Sakara: +112Victor Valimaki: -47

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessio SakaraVictor Valimaki
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:441:44
Win Type ELO1 065945
ELO Change+112-47
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What Happened

Alessio Sakara earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:44, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alessio Sakara: +143Victor Valimaki: -143

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessio SakaraVictor Valimaki
Significant Strikes Landed60
Significant Strikes Attempted2310
Total Strikes Landed60
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 058838
ELO Change+143-143
💡

What Happened

Alessio Sakara slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 6 vs 0 significant strikes, 26.1% vs 0.0% accuracy. Alessio Sakara capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alessio Sakara: +22Victor Valimaki: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessio SakaraVictor Valimaki
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted04
Ground Control Time0:000:05
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO985964
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alessio Sakara: +35Victor Valimaki: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessio SakaraVictor Valimaki
Days Since Last Fight154129
Activity ELO1 029960
ELO Change+35-20
💡

What Happened

Alessio Sakara demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Alessio Sakara capitalized on this activity level, while Victor Valimaki's 129-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alessio Sakara: +23Victor Valimaki: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessio SakaraVictor Valimaki
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 000959
ELO Change+23-21
💡

What Happened

Alessio Sakara started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Victor Valimaki is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alessio Sakara: +21Victor Valimaki: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricAlessio SakaraVictor Valimaki
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO996959
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.