Alex Caceres vs Austin Springer

August 28, 2020

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1079
(+32)
Alex Caceres
Winner: Alex Caceres
Submission
Round 1 • 3:38

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Alex Caceres+32
Austin Springer-25
975
(-25)
Austin Springer

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Caceres: +37Austin Springer: -37

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex CaceresAustin Springer
Total UFC Fights231
Experience Gap22-22
Experience ELO979963
ELO Change+37-37
💡

What Happened

Alex Caceres's 22-fight experience advantage (23 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alex Caceres for the expected result. Had Austin Springer pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Caceres: +19Austin Springer: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex CaceresAustin Springer
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 051981
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Caceres: +52Austin Springer: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex CaceresAustin Springer
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish3:383:38
Win Type ELO1 140968
ELO Change+52-32
💡

What Happened

Alex Caceres earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:38, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Caceres: +19Austin Springer: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex CaceresAustin Springer
Significant Strikes Landed1814
Significant Strikes Attempted3132
Total Strikes Landed1814
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 136981
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

Alex Caceres slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 58.1% vs 43.8% accuracy. Alex Caceres capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Caceres: +44Austin Springer: -44

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex CaceresAustin Springer
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:100:03
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 029956
ELO Change+44-44
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Caceres: +41Austin Springer: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex CaceresAustin Springer
Days Since Last Fight84N/A
Activity ELO1 166986
ELO Change+41-14
💡

What Happened

Alex Caceres demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Alex Caceres capitalized on this activity level, while Austin Springer's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Caceres: +23Austin Springer: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex CaceresAustin Springer
Win Streak30
Win Streak ELO1 078982
ELO Change+23-18
💡

What Happened

Alex Caceres extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Austin Springer is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Alex Caceres: +19Austin Springer: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricAlex CaceresAustin Springer
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 051981
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.