June 5, 2020
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Chase Hooper |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 22 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 20 | -20 |
| Experience ELO | 942 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Alex Caceres's 20-fight experience advantage (22 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Alex Caceres for the expected result. Had Chase Hooper pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Chase Hooper |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 032 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Chase Hooper |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 088 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Alex Caceres earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Chase Hooper |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 103 | 53 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 164 | 187 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 109 | 60 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 117 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -84 |
Alex Caceres controlled the striking exchanges with 109 vs 60 total strikes, 103 vs 53 significant strikes, 62.8% vs 28.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Alex Caceres capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Chase Hooper |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:31 | 2:56 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 14 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 985 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -65 |
Alex Caceres landed 1 knockdown followed by 14 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Chase Hooper |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 322 | 175 |
| Activity ELO | 1 125 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Alex Caceres demonstrated standard activity with 322 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Alex Caceres capitalized on this activity level, while Chase Hooper's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Chase Hooper |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 055 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Alex Caceres extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Chase Hooper is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Alex Caceres | Chase Hooper |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 032 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.